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时间:2021-09-14 02:00 来源: Essay代写

摘要:本文是Marketing Assignment代写范文参考,主要内容是研究房地产市场在过去十年的发展状况,以及对印度房地产市场的预......

Marketing Assignment代写:基于印度房地产市场崩溃的预测效率

Indian Realty Market Crashes Based On Predictive Efficiency 

 

房地产市场在过去的十年中,全球范围内出现了巨大的热潮。与股票市场相比,房地产市场波动较小但它上涨也会随之下降。当房地产资产的价格指数上升,价格与资产的实际成本价格松散的相关性,然后市场普遍下跌,这些巨大的瀑布被称为崩溃。本研究使用一个非常古老的图表模式,即海飞丝的定量参数预测效率的基础上,评估房地产市场的运动。在房地产市场的三大下跌,海飞丝模式能够预测只有一个。

印度与全球市场的联系非常紧密,商业房地产的增长与印度的贸易密切相关,与世界各地的贸易密切相关。全球的发展应吸取在发展房地产市场发生。麦肯锡的报告强调了印度城市的经济增长,强调建设包容性的城市和保持经济增长。为城市发展奠定坚实的基础,为城市发展奠定坚实的基础。

 

The realty market worldwide has seen a huge upsurge in the last decade. When compared with the stock market the realty market is less volatile but nonetheless the uptrend in it is also followed by downtrend. When there is an exponential rise in price of real estate assets and the prices loose correlation with the actual cost price of the assets then the market generally falls and these huge falls are known as crashes. This study evaluates the movement of the realty market using one of the very old chart patterns namely Head and Shoulders based on quantitative parameter - Predictive Efficiency. Out of the total three major falls in the realty market, Head and Shoulders pattern were able to predict only one.

 

India is very well connected with the global markets and the growth of the commercial real estate is closely complemented by the trade India does with the rest of the World. The global developments should be imbibed in the developments taking place in the real estate market. The economic growth of cities in India is highlighted by the report of McKinsey's which lays emphasis on building inclusive cities and sustaining economic growth. The foundation for a smooth development process is ensured by a strong foundation for urban growth.

 

The economy of India is expected to grow despite the turbulence it faces. The reason for the same can be attributed to an ever-increasing per capita income and domestic consumption rate. The investments specifically done to the infrastructure sector has further enhanced its attractiveness for investment purposes. The growth potential offered by the Indian Real Estate industry indicates huge opportunities for the entire sector. The retail market of India will emerge as a major driving force behind the real estate sector's growth. The demand of the real estate by 2020 can very well be imagined due to the aspirations of the Indian shoppers, development of residential apartments, townships and cities. It is anticipated that nearly 215 million people will be added to the population of India by 2025. India enjoys a distinct reputation as a hospitality hub. The rising levels of GDP and unstoppable pace of global alliances have further aided in driving the hospitality market. The travel and tourism market of India is expected to grow from $144 billion to $431 billion by 2020. The growth of the industrial sector of the economy is going to reach a value of $225 billion by 2020.

 

Improving the real estate sector in India is going to help improve the overall perception of the sector. The Indian Real estate sector is going to emerge as a promising one heralding a long era of growth. The markets have better informed customers and due to increased competition long term success will only be seen by people who strive for overall excellence.

 

Literature Review 文献综述

Stock Market crashes personify the class of phenomenon that is often referred to as the "extreme events". Sornette referred to the cooperative phenomenon leading to specific detectable critical signals as power laws. The same concept was then applied to earthquakes (Sornette and Sammis, 1995 and Newman et.al., 1995). It was later suggested that the same concept be applied to financial market crashes also (Feigenbaum and Freund, 1996 and Sornette et.al, 1996). Changes in regimes and predictions of trend reversals are important in all domains of applications like finance, economy, climate etc. The same assumes all the more significance in the case of finance when people's expectations, greediness and fear all construct the indefinite future.

 

Blanchard (1979) and Blanchard and Watson (1982) introduced the concept of rational expectations bubbles, which refers to arbitrary deviations from fundamental prices while keeping the anchor point of economic modeling well in place. Evans (1991) has explored the explosive trends in the time series of asset prices and foreign exchange rates.

 

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